TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Chicago, Seattle, or neither team will be the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If either Chicago or Seattle reaches 14 points before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone during the full game, including any overtime periods, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, whether Chicago or Seattle reaches 14 points first. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s trades, creating a real-time assessment of the race. This creates a fluid environment where probabilities are constantly updated based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, Chicago or Seattle, officially reaches 14 points first during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winner of the points race. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Chicago or Seattle would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team performance during recent games, or even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s style of play over the other. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of reaching 14 points first could lead to notable movements in this market.