TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sam Darnold: 1+
- Kalshi
Sam Darnold: 1+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 06h:06m:34s
$
These markets track the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. Outcomes depend solely on the performance of named players during the contest, with settlement based on official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the named quarterback achieves the threshold number of passing touchdowns stated in the market title. If a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Sam Darnold and Caleb Williams, with each market having a distinct touchdown threshold (ranging from 1+ to 5+ for Darnold and 1+ to 4+ for Williams).
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of opinions and adjust accordingly, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by the relevant players will be used to determine the winning contracts. This resolution will be based on official game statistics and widely accepted sources of sports data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could cause prices to shift. Unexpected announcements about quarterback playing time or offensive play-calling could also drive movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants can influence the market, as can broader public sentiment reflected in social media or news coverage. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.