TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Caleb Williams: Over 15.6
- Kalshi
Caleb Williams: Over 15.6 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 05h:54m:04s
$
This set of markets focuses on predicting individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game. Each market centers on whether specific players or the defensive units will exceed predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on detailed scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or defensive units in the full game (including overtime) between Chicago and Seattle, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. Fantasy points are calculated using a standardized formula that awards points for yards gained, touchdowns, receptions, and defensive achievements, while deducting points for interceptions, missed kicks, and allowed points. If a player does not participate or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections. Markets are resolved to "Yes" if the specified player or defensive unit exceeds their respective fantasy point threshold; otherwise, they resolve to "No".
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. The price of a contract representing a particular outcome reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current prices are determined solely by supply and demand on Kalshi, and represent the cost to buy or sell a contract for a specific fantasy points total.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official fantasy point totals for players in the Chicago vs Seattle game, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the final result. The market will settle based on the total fantasy points scored by all players in the game, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. No further information is available regarding the specifics of the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect passing or rushing offenses, could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.