TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 00h:48m:04s
$
This event ties fantasy football performance to financial outcomes for a specific NFL matchup. Participants bet on how many points certain players will score in a game, with payouts scaling directly with the players' performance. The structure ensures that returns are capped and proportional to the actual points scored.
The event consists of multiple parallel scalar markets, each tied to a different player's performance in the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. For each market, the Yes outcome pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the designated player, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No outcome pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are determined using Sleeper's weekly standard PPR fantasy-point totals for the specified player. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point figure for the week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. All payouts are proportional to the holder's contract position, ensuring that returns scale linearly with the player's actual performance. The event explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, noting that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Chicago vs Seattle fantasy matchup. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players from Chicago and Seattle will be used to determine the winner of the fantasy ladder. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules and data from established fantasy sports platforms. Traders will be able to see the final results and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the resolution date. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in player usage or unexpected performance in upcoming games could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from fantasy sports experts and updated projections could influence the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and cause the price to move quickly. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.