TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 04h:44m:29s
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This set of markets focuses on the performance of Chicago and Seattle teams specifically in the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine outcomes based solely on scoring in that last quarter.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, with overtime excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market. Thresholds range from over 1.5 points to over 10.5 points, covering both teams' potential victories. Only the points scored in the 4th quarter count toward resolution, meaning earlier quarters' performance does not affect any market outcome. These markets operate independently, with each evaluating a unique point spread requirement for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ from those established here, and discrepancies can emerge due to varying levels of information and biases. It's common to see the prediction market odds converge towards the true outcome as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread between Chicago and Seattle is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts offered on Kalshi. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout, and all trading will cease upon official confirmation of the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games that affect playoff standings might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in collective opinion about the likely 4th quarter spread.