TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 7.5 points
- Kalshi
Over 7.5 points - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 06h:55m:40s
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This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Chicago and Seattle teams during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Participants assess whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by Chicago and Seattle during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 2, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each depends solely on the total points scored in that specific quarter. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, with no impact from points scored in other quarters or from any external factors. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Chicago vs Seattle game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter falling within a certain range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective belief of the market participants, and the current price provides an indication of the expected total points for the quarter.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the third quarter between Chicago and Seattle will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Any significant shift in public perception regarding the likely outcome of the game, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive price fluctuations in this market.