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413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 06h:00m:42s
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This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific quarter in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. It evaluates whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin of points during that quarter, providing insight into expected performance dynamics.
The event determines whether Chicago or Seattle secures a victory by specific point margins during the third quarter of their scheduled November 2, 2026, professional football game. Ten separate markets correspond to different point-differential thresholds for each team, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, with no regard to the full-game result or points from other quarters. Resolution depends solely on the point differential achieved by either team within that specific quarter, and all markets operate independently of one another.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the game’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, Seattle wins 3Q by over 2.5 points?, has a chance percentage of 43.0% based on trading activity. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Chicago versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially reported.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.