TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 06h:53m:06s
$
These markets focus on the point differential between Chicago and Seattle during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, reflecting potential momentum shifts within a confined timeframe.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference between Chicago and Seattle at the conclusion of the second quarter of the game scheduled for November 2, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the actual point differential exceeds the stated threshold. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward determining the outcome, meaning any scoring from other quarters is irrelevant. The markets cover both possibilities: Seattle winning by various margins and Chicago winning by various margins. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the game. However, both offer unique perspectives on the likely outcome, and it’s common to see them converge as the event draws nearer, especially with increased trading volume.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final 2nd quarter spread of the Chicago versus Seattle game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official NFL results will serve as the basis for verification. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the price they paid for their contracts, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence trading activity. Major coaching decisions or changes in team strategy announced leading up to the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.