TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 07h:44m:48s
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This set of markets focuses on predicting which Seattle player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Chicago. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
These markets determine whether a specified Seattle player or the Seattle defense scores the first touchdown in the Chicago vs Seattle game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. Each player and the defensive unit has an individual market that resolves to Yes if that specific participant scores the first Seattle touchdown. A separate market resolves to Yes if no Seattle touchdowns are scored at all. For any player or unit market, if the participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Seattle touchdowns occur, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. All markets are independent, and participation status and snap counts directly influence settlement mechanics.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly incorporate a wider range of opinions. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome of the first Seattle touchdown.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown for the Seattle team during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. The market will close and payouts will be calculated based on the final outcome of the game, as reported by official sources. Traders should monitor the game to understand how the event unfolds and impacts the market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Seattle, would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about the opposing team's defense or their ability to contain Seattle's offense could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.