TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 9:07 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the second-quarter winner market, these markets focus on which team leads after the first quarter. The outcome is determined by the team with the highest score in that quarter, and if both teams are tied, the result is a draw.
If Seattle wins the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical analysis and expert opinions, this market incorporates a wider range of data, including insights from a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These discrepancies can sometimes offer opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to capitalize on mispricings between the two types of markets. However, it's important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities of an outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first quarter of the Chicago vs Seattle game will determine the outcome. The official results from the game, as reported by major sports news outlets, will be used to verify the winning team. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. This market provides a way to express and profit from beliefs about the game's early performance.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the game location could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public betting trends can contribute to shifts in the market. Even seemingly minor developments, such as a team’s performance in their previous game, could affect how traders assess the probabilities. Monitoring these factors closely can help understand potential movements in this market before Nov 3, 2026.