TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Chicago vs Seattle: 1st Chicago Touchdown
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What happens in Chicago vs Seattle?

Oct 30, 2026, 8:45 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 2:15 AM EST
Total volume:
$22,919
Volume 24h:
$22,874N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$22,611
49,561%

D'Andre Swift

 - Kalshi

D'Andre Swift - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 05h:38m:07s

D'Andre Swift: 1st Chicago Touchdown

24%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 24% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

D'Andre Swift

Trade
24%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
N/A
$1,883
0%
N/A
$1,836
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Colston Loveland

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 92¢
5¢
N/A
$3,538
0%
N/A
$3,528
8h 38m
Active
kalshi

Luther Burden III

Trade
13%
10%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$2,135
4,387%
N/A
$2,134
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Rome Odunze

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 92¢
5¢
N/A
$1,985
0%
N/A
$1,985
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Roschon Johnson

Trade
10%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$19
0%
N/A
$19
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Caleb Williams

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$12,799
0%
N/A
$12,549
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

CHI Bears D/ST

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 97¢
4¢
N/A
$76
0%
N/A
$76
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Sam Roush

Trade
5%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$105
0%
N/A
$105
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Jahdae Walker

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$378
0%
N/A
$378
8h 38m
Active
kalshi

Kalif Raymond

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

Zavion Thomas

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5h 38m
Active
kalshi

No Touchdown

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5h 38m
Active
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets focus on predicting which Chicago player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Seattle. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by game events.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified Chicago player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether that player scores the first Chicago touchdown. If no Chicago touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first Chicago touchdown market tracks the current price of each possible outcome – which player will score the first touchdown for Chicago. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $22,859, and the total volume traded to date, which is $22,919. You can see how the probabilities for each player are shifting in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment regarding who is most likely to achieve this milestone.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If the sportsbook odds significantly diverge from the probabilities implied by this market, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and discrepancies can simply reflect differing opinions or information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player scoring the first touchdown.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for the Chicago Bears in the game against Seattle. The outcome will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded first touchdown scorer, as determined by the league's official records and reported by reliable sports news sources.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players for Chicago, particularly the running back or wide receiver positions, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game plan and affect which players are favored to score. Finally, any late-breaking news about the Seattle defense’s strategy or vulnerabilities could also move this market as traders react to the latest information.