TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Matthew Golden or Luther Burden III will each score at least two touchdowns in the Chicago vs Green Bay professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Matthew Golden a 48.0% probability of scoring 2+ touchdowns, while Luther Burden III is at 8.0%. The market resolves based on whether Skyy Moore scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the resolution source. Keep a close eye on the official team injury reports leading up to October 11, 2026, to assess each player’s expected playing time and role in the game plan.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player or team achieves the stated touchdown threshold during the game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based solely on whether the touchdown threshold is met. All markets are independent, and resolution depends exclusively on in-game scoring outcomes for the named participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likely outcome. This can lead to differences, particularly when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and often converge as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – also indicates the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of touchdowns scored in the specified game, as officially recorded by the NFL. The final market price will reflect the accuracy of the collective predictions made by traders on Kalshi. It’s important to note that the final score, as determined by official sources, is what determines the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team dynamics or player matchups could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.