TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on MarShawn Lloyd's rushing output in the upcoming NFL game between Chicago and Green Bay. Payouts for contracts are determined by the number of rushing yards he records, with payments increasing proportionally to his yardage total.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by MarShawn Lloyd during the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard ladder outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the prices by placing bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the market continuously adjusts as new information becomes available and trading activity fluctuates. The current price represents the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding rushing yard ladder is achieved.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Chicago versus Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded rushing yardage for each player, as determined by the NFL’s official statistics. The specific rushing yard ladder outcome that corresponds to the final yardage will determine which contracts payout, and the payout amount will be determined by the final market price of that contract.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any news regarding changes to the teams' offensive strategies or playing conditions. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement weather that could impact the running game, could also drive price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the expected performance of the running backs could also lead to changes in the odds for this market.