TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on MarShawn Lloyd's performance in the Chicago vs Green Bay football game. Payouts for contracts are determined by the rushing yards he achieves, with escalating rewards tied to higher yardage milestones.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by MarShawn Lloyd in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on team performance. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest an opportunity for informed trading, as the crowd may be anticipating something different than the general public.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts in this market is determined by the forces of supply and demand. Traders submit bids to buy contracts, representing a belief that rushing yardage will exceed a certain level, and offers to sell, indicating a belief it will fall short. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a dynamic price discovery process where the market price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The more actively traded a particular outcome is, the more accurate and efficient its pricing tends to be, and the lower the spread between the best buy and sell offers.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Chicago versus Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by the NFL. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the game, as any changes in player availability or weather conditions could impact the final outcome.
News regarding the health of key players, particularly the starting running backs and offensive lines for both the Chicago and Green Bay teams, will likely have a substantial impact on this market. Changes in coaching strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day – such as heavy rain or snow – could also influence the rushing yardage totals. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and move the price.