TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether D'Andre Swift will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between Chicago and Green Bay. The outcomes depend entirely on Swift's performance during the match, making it a straightforward test of his ability to gain yardage against the opposing defense.
All markets resolve based on whether D'Andre Swift records a specified number of rushing yards or more in the Chicago vs Green Bay professional football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Swift is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once Swift takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds from 30+ to 140+ rushing yards.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions often fall between the sportsbook lines and the prices seen in this market, but the dynamic nature of prediction markets means the odds can change rapidly based on trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic and real-time price discovery process. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher its contract price will be.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Chicago vs. Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contract holders with contracts corresponding to the actual rushing yard total will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Chicago and Green Bay teams, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would be significant. Weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, as inclement weather often impacts rushing offenses. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or changes to the game plan could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could impact trading activity in this market.