TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago vs Green Bay: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Chicago vs Green Bay?

Volume:
$632

Christian Watson

 - Kalshi

Christian Watson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian Watson

View
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Matthew Golden

View
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

View
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.5¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

D'Andre Swift

View
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Luther Burden III

View
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Rome Odunze

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Colston Loveland

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of selected players in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Green Bay, focusing specifically on how many times each player successfully catches the ball. The outcome depends on the exact number of receptions achieved by each named player during the game.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific player participating in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For every player, Yes contracts pay out according to a predefined schedule based on the number of receptions the player achieves, with payouts increasing incrementally up to a maximum of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The payout formula for Yes contracts is calculated as floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official number of receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts combined equals $1.00. The market resolves to Yes if the specified conditions regarding receptions are met for that player. All markets operate independently, with each player's performance evaluated separately according to the same structured payout guidelines.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL receptions market tracks the current prices for various outcomes related to total receptions in the upcoming Chicago versus Green Bay game. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $556. The total volume traded on this market is $632. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different reception totals and gauge the level of interest in the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines that are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more information is incorporated. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news related to player injuries or weather conditions. However, as the event nears, the prices often converge as both markets process the same information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in various scenarios for the Chicago versus Green Bay game.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Chicago versus Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market and any potential payouts. The final reception totals will be the determining factor.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports on player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant news related to team strategy or coaching decisions might lead to adjustments in the prices within this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.