TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player. The outcome depends solely on whether the designated player meets or exceeds the reception count specified for each market.
The event consists of multiple markets, each focusing on whether specific players achieve a minimum number of receptions in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a primary rule stating that if the named player records the specified number of receptions or more, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Secondary rules address scenarios where the player is active but does not take any snaps, in which case the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. If the player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded. The event emphasizes that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true outcome of the Chicago vs Green Bay game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they'll bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions for both the Chicago and Green Bay teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how their positions will be settled. This timeframe allows for official data verification and ensures a fair resolution process.
Several factors could influence the Chicago vs Green Bay receptions market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could contribute to price movements in this market.