TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds. Each market covers a different player or unit, assessing their statistical contributions across offensive, defensive, and special teams categories. The outcomes depend entirely on the official game statistics as recorded by the league and processed through a standardized fantasy-point system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense/special teams units during the full duration of the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various in-game achievements such as yards gained, touchdowns scored, interceptions, sacks, field goals, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate or receive no fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The final fantasy-point totals are determined by the values published by Sleeper at the time the market expires, with no adjustments allowed for post-expiration corrections. Each individual market specifies a threshold value; if the relevant player or unit surpasses this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears defense/special teams markets follow the same scoring rules and resolution criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Frequently, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering information not fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable comparison point for assessing the overall expectations surrounding the Chicago vs Green Bay game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for players in the Chicago vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official fantasy point totals awarded by major fantasy sports providers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses, as this will ultimately determine the payout of contracts within this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Green Bay teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence expectations. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations in this market.