TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the combined outcomes of the first half and the full game in a football match between Chicago and Green Bay. Each market requires a specific result in both the first half and the final game outcome to settle as 'Yes'. The markets cover all possible combinations of winners or ties in both halves and the full game.
Each market resolves based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game. For a market to resolve as 'Yes', both the first half result and the full game result must match the market's specified conditions. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the market's requirements, it resolves as 'No'. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent and require exact matching of both halves and full game outcomes as defined in their respective primary rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market represents the aggregate predictions of informed traders. Often, this market can provide an alternative perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and the true probabilities of various outcomes. While sportsbooks may be influenced by biases or promotional considerations, this market aims for a more objective assessment of the likely result based on the collective intelligence of its participants. It’s a useful comparison point for those seeking a broader view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, currently at a volume of $14,069, influence how efficiently prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and insights, creating a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chicago versus Green Bay game, specifically the 1st half and fulltime result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions after the game concludes and the results are officially announced. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Green Bay teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the game’s likely outcome could prompt traders to reassess their positions and move the market.