TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional NWSL soccer match between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard regulation time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Chicago vs Denver Summit FC professional NWSL soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Chicago or Denver occurs only if that specific team wins in regulation time. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, can sometimes reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are widely available and can serve as a useful benchmark when evaluating the potential outcomes of the Summit FC match. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in the days leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery for the Summit FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Summit FC match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Major announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can sometimes drive price movements. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market for the Summit FC match.