TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
An NHL matchup between two teams will have its result determine market outcomes. The victorious team dictates market resolution, with special conditions addressing potential game postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the official result of the NHL game between Chicago and Boston scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Boston wins, the Boston market resolves to Yes; if Chicago wins, the Chicago market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participants than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to predict the outcome accurately. You may find that this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, as each venue attracts a different mix of expertise and biases. Examining these differences can be insightful for understanding market perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chicago vs Boston matchup, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Chicago vs Boston matchup, as officially reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the event's outcome will be verified to ensure accuracy and fairness in the resolution process. It is important to monitor for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or significant news coverage related to either team could all shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual incentives rather than broad consensus. Any event that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the Chicago vs Boston matchup has the potential to cause price fluctuations and increased volume.