TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sam Roush or Charlie Woerner will each score 2 or more touchdowns in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Sam Roush a 2.0% probability, while Charlie Woerner is at 2.0%. The market resolves based on official scoring data from the game, as determined by whether Sam Roush scores at least 2+ touchdowns, as stated in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, to see if either player reaches this scoring milestone, as that date represents the end of the betting period and the event window for resolution.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns during the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, the market settles according to the actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded and do not count toward resolving these markets. All markets are independent, and the resolution for each player is determined solely by their own performance in the game.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, this market allows individuals to express their own predictions and collectively establish probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of touchdowns scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for this NFL game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Chicago versus Atlanta game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement, as scoring potential is directly tied to player availability. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the market, as conditions can affect passing and running games. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market.