TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in an upcoming football match, focusing on whether either team surpasses specific yardage milestones. Bettors can assess team capabilities and game dynamics by wagering on these benchmarks.
The event evaluates multiple offensive yardage thresholds for both Chicago and Atlanta in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from 250 to 450 total offensive yards for each team—resolves to Yes if the respective team achieves or exceeds its designated yardage mark during the game. All markets share a common secondary rule structure: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of individual threshold specifications. The outcome hinges solely on the official total offensive yards recorded by each team, with no external affiliations or endorsements implied by the governing league or trademark holders.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards gained by both teams. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the prices themselves based on their analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the collective intelligence surrounding the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for both the Chicago and Atlanta teams will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts settle at $100. Contracts predicting a total yardage that is lower than the actual total will expire at $0, while those predicting a higher total will also expire at $0. The precise yardage will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact expectations about passing and rushing yardage. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market price.