TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Chicago will win their game against Atlanta by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Chicago winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, specifically if Chicago wins by more than 7.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For markets where Chicago is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Chicago's victory exceeds the specified point margin—from just over 1.5 points up to more than 20.5 points. Conversely, for markets where Atlanta is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Atlanta's victory exceeds margins ranging from just over 1.5 points to more than 14.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Over time, the two may converge, but discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Chicago vs Atlanta spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts indicating a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, giving traders insight into potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and reflect collective expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Chicago vs Atlanta game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contract they purchased. It's important to monitor news and updates leading up to the event to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result and the market's resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any major news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance could all influence trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also drive price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors impacting game day could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market.