TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on whether Bijan Robinson will achieve various rushing yard thresholds in a specific football game between Chicago and Atlanta. The outcomes depend entirely on Robinson's performance during the match, with each market evaluating a different yardage milestone.
All markets are based on Bijan Robinson's rushing yard performance in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, with each market requiring a specific minimum rushing yard threshold for resolution. Each contract is designated as 'protected,' meaning if Robinson participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless he meets the required yardage, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If Robinson participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game rushing yards including overtime.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each potential outcome, providing insights into the overall sentiment surrounding the game's rushing performance.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the Chicago versus Atlanta NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the market will settle to reflect the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct rushing yard range will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant public information or analysis released by sports analysts could influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations in this market.