TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Bijan Robinson and D'Andre Swift both have opportunities to showcase their skills in an upcoming football game. Their combined rushing and receiving yardage will be closely monitored, with particular attention on whether they can meet or exceed various performance benchmarks set by analysts and fans.
The markets resolve based on whether Bijan Robinson and D'Andre Swift record specific thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards (Bijan: 130+, 155+, 180+; D'Andre: 100+, 125+, 150+) in the designated game. If either player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on the combined yards recorded. Each market is independent and resolves solely on the specified yardage thresholds for the respective player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction markets and sportsbooks will adjust their odds. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, especially as the event draws nearer and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the potential for different yardage totals.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage for the specified players will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the total yardage falls within the range defined by the contracts offered, and to 0 if it falls outside of that range. All trading will cease upon official confirmation of the final statistics, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or shifts in coaching strategies could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on player performance is crucial for informed trading in this market.