TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific running backs will carry the ball during an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. Each market focuses on a different player and a different minimum number of rushing attempts needed for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each player's performance threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting and has its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the total rushing attempts. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both teams in the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The data will be sourced from official NFL game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payout calculations on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also shift expectations towards a more pass-heavy game plan. Coaching decisions regarding game strategy, such as a stated emphasis on running the ball, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team dynamics or play-calling tendencies could impact trading activity and price discovery.