TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of various players in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each player successfully catches passes. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of receptions recorded by various players in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific player and a reception threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 13+). If the named player achieves at least the specified number of receptions, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A secondary rule addresses scenarios where a player is active but does not take any snaps: in such cases, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, if the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria for each player's reception performance.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders expressing their true beliefs about the likelihood of different reception totals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals for the Chicago vs Atlanta game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the relevant sporting authority. Trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the reception total will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in quarterback performance or game strategy could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, might affect passing game volume and, consequently, reception totals. Even news regarding defensive matchups or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.