TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track receiving yardage performance for individual players in an upcoming NFL matchup. Each contract's value fluctuates based on actual yards gained, with payouts scaling linearly according to yardage achieved.
All markets function as scalar contracts tied to receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring total payouts sum to $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts scale proportionally with yardage—for instance, 80 yards yields a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while 200 yards results in equal $0.50 payouts for both positions. Zero yards grants a full $1.00 payout to No contracts and $0.00 to Yes contracts. All contracts resolve based solely on official game statistics, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the NFL or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analyses of expert opinions often align more closely with the probabilities expressed in this market than with initial sportsbook offerings, as they also represent aggregated perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player involved will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official NFL statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses, as this will influence the final resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected changes in player matchups or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will likely influence trading activity right up until the Oct 18, 2026 resolution of this market.