TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 25+, 40+, up to 120+ yards) that must be met or exceeded by the named player for a 'Yes' resolution. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional betting odds, though initial sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see the price on Kalshi move in response to significant shifts in sportsbook lines, but not always.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible receiving yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for the potential receiving yards achieved in the game, and is influenced by factors like player matchups, weather conditions, and injury reports.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the Chicago versus Atlanta game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total receiving yards, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the price at which they purchased it.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a player’s illness could also shift the market. Finally, any significant public attention or analysis focusing on this specific matchup could draw more traders to Kalshi and affect the price of the receiving yards prop.