TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. It captures the dynamic nature of the game's early progression, focusing on the pace at which each team scores. The outcome depends purely on the in-game performance of both teams in reaching this specific scoring threshold first.
The event determines whether Chicago, Atlanta, or neither team is the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If either Chicago or Atlanta reaches 14 points before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone during the full game, including any overtime periods, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. As more information becomes available – such as injuries or changes in team performance – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of each team’s chances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the fair probability. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving you insight into potential price movements and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team, the Chicago or Atlanta, reaches 14 points first during the game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics and reporting. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. The platform will announce the resolution and payout details once the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected performance during other games could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could move the market. Even weather conditions on game day could play a role, especially if they favor one team’s playing style over the other, leading to adjustments in the probabilities offered in this market.