TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
The event focuses on a football game where a player aims to achieve a significant running play during the match. It highlights the athlete's performance in terms of distance covered on a single rush. The outcome hinges on whether the player reaches a certain benchmark for the longest run in that particular game.
If Bijan Robinson records a longest rush of over 18.5 yards in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to reflect public perception and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on player performance. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt in the Chicago versus Atlanta game will be declared the winner. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the longest rush. Any ties will be resolved according to the platform’s standard tie-breaking procedures, which are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the market, as they affect the running game. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move prices. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders reassessing their probabilities and adjusting their positions accordingly.