TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether a specific quarterback achieves various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's performance during the full match, including any overtime periods. Each market has different yardage requirements that must be met for the bet to pay out.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets or exceeds the specified passing yard threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods. The event uses full-game passing yards, and Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league; all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game and potential player performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that range being the actual outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately represent the perceived likelihood of various outcomes for the passing yards total.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the league following the completion of the game between Chicago and Atlanta. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact expectations for passing yardage. Unexpected announcements about changes to offensive strategies or play-calling could also shift the market. Finally, general public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game and the teams involved can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.