TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
The market tracks whether Michael Penix Jr. will surpass various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. Outcomes depend strictly on his actual passing yardage performance during the match.
All markets resolve based on Michael Penix Jr.'s passing yards in the specified game. If he is active but never takes a snap, markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once he takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the markets settle based solely on the passing yards he records during the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability that traders assign to that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential yardage totals for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage totals for the specified players will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the passing yardage range.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing yardage expectations. Late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or adjustments could also move the market, as could any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the game’s likely outcome.