TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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Chicago vs Atlanta: Passing Touchdowns
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What is the result of Chicago vs Atlanta?

Volume:
$101,125

Michael Penix Jr.: 2+

 - Kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 3:56 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,080
N/A
N/A
$31,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 1+

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,879
N/A
N/A
$10,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,478
N/A
N/A
$9,923
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 3+

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,160
N/A
N/A
$3,726
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,814
N/A
N/A
$11,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 3+

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,661
N/A
N/A
$7,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 4+

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,987
N/A
N/A
$3,320
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 4+

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
$1,882
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The market assesses whether Michael Penix Jr. will achieve different numbers of passing touchdowns in the same Chicago versus Atlanta football game. Resolution hinges entirely on the count of touchdowns he throws, regardless of game context or other factors.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Michael Penix Jr.'s passing touchdowns in the specified game. If he is active but never takes a snap, markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once he takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the markets settle based solely on the number of passing touchdowns he records during the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying the implied probabilities of each player achieving a specific number of passing touchdowns in the game. It also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $95,463, and the total overall volume, which is $101,125. This data helps traders understand market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating this market.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each quarterback will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official game statistics from the NFL will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to see the results clearly displayed on Kalshi once the resolution process is complete, and payouts will be processed accordingly based on the final outcome of the game.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterbacks or their receiving corps, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions expected to favor either the passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments to the game plan could shift market sentiment. Finally, public perception and analysis from sports commentators and analysts can also contribute to movements in this market.