TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of a specific quarterback in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. They focus on how many times the quarterback throws interceptions during the match. The outcomes vary based on whether the quarterback throws one or more, two or more, or three or more interceptions.
The markets evaluate Michael Penix Jr.'s passing interceptions in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, with three tiers: 1+, 2+, and 3+ interceptions. If Penix Jr. records the specified number of interceptions or more, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Penix Jr. is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Penix Jr. takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all three markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each tier of interception thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and benefit from the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insights into public perception and initial expectations for the game, providing a useful point of comparison for those analyzing this market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Chicago versus Atlanta game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand how this market will settle. The outcome will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on defensive strategies or key player matchups could influence traders’ assessments of the likelihood of interceptions. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from football experts could move this market as traders react to new information before Oct 18, 2026.