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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Chicago vs Atlanta: Passing Completions
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What is the result of Chicago vs Atlanta?

Volume:
$23,948

Caleb Williams: 15+

 - Kalshi

Caleb Williams: 15+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 2:12 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 15+

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,357
N/A
N/A
$8,355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 20+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,285
N/A
N/A
$5,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 25+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
$1,428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 16+

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 21+

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,518
N/A
N/A
$4,158
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 26+

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,240
N/A
N/A
$2,209
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The market tracks the Chicago vs Atlanta Professional Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, focusing exclusively on Michael Penix Jr.'s passing completions. Outcomes are determined by whether he reaches certain completion milestones during the match.

Kalshi

If Michael Penix Jr. records 16+ passing completions in the Chicago vs Atlanta Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Penix Jr. records 21+ passing completions in the Chicago vs Atlanta Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Penix Jr. records 26+ passing completions in the Chicago vs Atlanta Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing completions market tracks the current price of contracts, the 24-hour trading volume of $20,888, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $23,948. You can view the historical price movement of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions in this matchup. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of various completion totals, offering insights into market sentiment. This allows you to analyze trends and potentially identify advantageous trading opportunities within this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available and opinions converge, the prices in this market may align more closely with sportsbook odds, or they may diverge if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or breaking news.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved during the Chicago versus Atlanta game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence traders’ expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis and social media discussions, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations in this market.