TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Sports
Chicago vs Atlanta: Passing Attempts
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What is the result of Chicago vs Atlanta?

Volume:
$18,967

Caleb Williams: 33+

 - Kalshi

Caleb Williams: 33+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 3:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 33+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,323
N/A
N/A
$9,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 31+

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,509
N/A
N/A
$5,269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 26+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
$1,187
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 28+

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$870
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Caleb Williams: 38+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
$599
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 36+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track how often a specific quarterback attempts passes during a football game between Chicago and Atlanta. The outcomes depend on whether the player reaches certain attempt thresholds. The rules account for scenarios where the player might not play at all.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether Michael Penix Jr. records a specified number of passing attempts (26+, 31+, or 36+) in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Penix Jr. is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Penix Jr. takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing attempts he records during the game. These provisions ensure fair resolution even when a player’s participation is limited or uncertain prior to or during the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing attempts market tracks the current prices for various outcomes related to the total passing attempts in the game between Chicago and Atlanta. You can view the odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $15,358. The total volume traded on this market is $18,967. This allows traders to see how sentiment is shifting and identify potential opportunities based on the collective predictions of other participants.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. If you find significant differences between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempts total from the Chicago versus Atlanta game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified results.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also shift expectations regarding passing volume. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about offensive or defensive strategies employed by either team could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly, leading to volatility in this market.