TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players or the defensive units exceed predetermined fantasy point thresholds. Each market centers on a different participant's statistical contributions, measured against a benchmark for that contest.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or defensive units in the full Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, including overtime. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions. Each primary rule defines a threshold; if the specified participant’s total fantasy points exceed this threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. Participants who do not play or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are treated as scoring zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no additional rounding or post-expiration corrections applied. The scoring system details specific point values for categories including passing yards (0.04 points per yard, plus 1 point per 25 yards), passing touchdowns (4 points), interceptions (-1 point), rushing yards (0.1 points per yard, plus 1 point per 10 yards), rushing touchdowns (6 points), receptions (1 point each), receiving yards (0.1 points per yard, plus 1 point per 10 yards), receiving touchdowns (6 points), field goals (3 to 6 points depending on distance), extra points (1 point), defensive touchdowns (6 points), sacks (1 point), interceptions (2 points), and various other defensive and special teams achievements. Negative points are also possible for missed kicks, lost fumbles, and allowing many points as detailed in the D/ST points allowed table.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into how the public and experts view the probability of different outcomes in this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting that the total fantasy points scored will be above a certain level, or sell 'no' contracts, betting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. Market participants dynamically adjust their bids and asks, creating a real-time assessment of the potential fantasy point total.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total fantasy points scored by players from both the Chicago and Atlanta teams will be tallied based on standard fantasy scoring rules. This data will be sourced from official league statistics and verified against credible public sources. Once the official scores are available, the market will settle, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their winnings or fulfill their obligations.
Several factors could influence the Chicago vs Atlanta fantasy points market. Injury reports for key players on either team would be a significant driver, as the absence of star players directly impacts potential fantasy point production. Unexpected changes in player matchups or game strategy could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding player health, performance projections from fantasy football analysts, or even weather conditions that might affect scoring could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.