TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. Payouts are directly tied to the players' fantasy points scored during the match, calculated using a standardized scoring system. The structure ensures that returns scale with the players' statistical contributions.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For each market, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger absolute payouts while maintaining the same proportional return as smaller positions.
Often, prediction market odds diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting differing opinions and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public perception, or the influence of late-breaking news. It's common to see this market react more quickly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating and adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players from both the Chicago and Atlanta teams will be used to determine the winner of the matchup. The resolution will be based on officially recorded statistics from the relevant fantasy sports platform, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in player performance, such as a breakout game or a prolonged slump, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding team strategies, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions affecting player performance could all contribute to price movements. Any significant developments related to the players involved in this fantasy matchup have the potential to move the market.