TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between Chicago and Atlanta. It specifically evaluates performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that quarter.
If Atlanta wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing participants to provide informed predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from margins, this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the fourth quarter. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insight, and discrepancies between the two can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the fourth quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a major sports news outlet, will serve as the basis for determining the outcome. All trading will cease once the fourth quarter concludes, and the market will settle based on the verified results. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier quarters of the game, or significant shifts in momentum, could also lead to substantial price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.