TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines the Chicago versus Atlanta Pro Football game to determine if both sides score points during the fourth quarter. The outcome is purely a function of in-game scoring actions, with no consideration of earlier quarters or overall game results.
If Chicago and Atlanta both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. While sportsbooks might initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on new information and collective insight, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both the Chicago and Atlanta teams will score in the 4th quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'yes' outcome; conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official scoring data from the game between Chicago and Atlanta. If both teams score at least one point during the 4th quarter, the market will settle in favor of 'yes'. Otherwise, it will settle in favor of 'no'. The final result will be based on the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports data providers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or kicking game, could also shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as dominant offensive displays or defensive struggles, might also lead to price adjustments as traders react to the evolving dynamics of the Chicago vs Atlanta game.