What will be the 3rd quarter total?

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Chicago vs Atlanta 3rd quarter will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time estimate of the outcome’s likelihood. The current price is determined entirely by trader activity.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 3rd quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also impact the market. In-game performance during the first half of the game, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, might also shift trader sentiment and alter the price. Unexpected strategic decisions by the coaches could also be a catalyst for price changes in this market.