TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
For this event, the Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons need to each score at least one point in the second quarter of their game. The resolution hinges on whether both teams can find the end zone, kick a field goal, or achieve a safety during that quarter.
If Chicago and Atlanta both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ capabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the second quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information and opinions emerge. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both the Chicago and Atlanta teams score at least one point during the second quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected developments during the first quarter of the game could lead to adjustments in the market price. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also indirectly influence trading activity in this market.