TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a football game between Chicago and Atlanta. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance expected in the opening quarter of play. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored by both teams during that specific timeframe.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Chicago and Atlanta in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is binary: 'Yes' if the total points exceed the threshold, 'No' otherwise. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play, with no impact from subsequent quarters or any other game aspects. The resolution hinges entirely on the actual point total accumulated by both teams in that initial 15-minute period.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – traders buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. As a result, the implied probabilities in this market can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors who can identify discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific range of total points for the Chicago vs Atlanta 1st quarter. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price for those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Chicago vs Atlanta game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official score will be sourced from a widely recognized sports data provider. The final price of contracts will reflect the actual first quarter total, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on the accuracy of their predictions. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as the market may react to real-time events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Chicago or Atlanta teams would likely cause a shift in the price. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis or expert opinions released by sports analysts could sway trader sentiment. As the game approaches, even the starting lineups announced shortly before tip-off can impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on who is playing.