TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Atlanta player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Chicago. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.
These markets determine whether a specified Atlanta player or the Atlanta defense scores the first touchdown in the Chicago vs Atlanta professional football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to an individual player or the defensive unit. If the designated player or unit scores the first Atlanta touchdown, that specific market resolves to Yes. If no Atlanta touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. For any player market, if the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether that player scores the first touchdown. The markets are independent, and only one player or the defensive unit can score the first touchdown, meaning only one Yes outcome is possible across all markets, with the exception that if no touchdown is scored, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes and all others to No.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately reflect the probability of an outcome, and comparing them can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of the first Atlanta touchdown occurring. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market's depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest surrounding this particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on identifying the first touchdown scored by the Atlanta team during the game. The official game results and play-by-play data will be used to determine which team scored first. The outcome will be based on the official record of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Chicago or Atlanta would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks might influence traders' perceptions and shift the market price. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting trends could also drive movement in this market.