TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago State vs. Tarleton State
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Chicago State vs. Tarleton State?

Volume:
$5,019,071

Spread -14.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -14.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 11:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tarleton St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,636
N/A
N/A
$53,735
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago State vs. Tarleton State

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Chicago State vs. Tarleton State

View
N/A
N/A
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago St.

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,921,284
N/A
N/A
$4,003,898
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the 2H Moneyline in the college football game between Chicago State and Tarleton State. Currently, the consensus probability of Chicago State vs. Tarleton State winning is 19.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers multiple spread markets, while Kalshi offers a simple win/loss market. This creates SKU risk and requires careful attention to the specific market being traded.Hero tip: Focus on the specific spread you are trading on Polymarket. Kalshi's market is a simpler win/loss bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Multiple spread markets exist, resolving to Chicago State if they win by a specified margin (e.g., 15+ points for -14.5 spread). If the game is canceled, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Chicago State or Tarleton State wins the game. The original scheduling date (Oct 3, 2026) is the determining factor.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Chicago State and Tarleton State, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago State" if Chicago State win the game. This market will resolve to "Tarleton State" if Tarleton State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Tarleton St. wins the Chicago St. vs Tarleton St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago St. wins the Chicago St. vs Tarleton St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Chicago State and Tarleton State, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago State" if Chicago State win the game. This market will resolve to "Tarleton State" if Tarleton State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the college basketball matchup across multiple prediction market platforms, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume for this market is $5,019,071, with $4,911,773 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, as reflected by the combined probabilities, suggests a strong expectation for one outcome. However, it's important to note that prices and probabilities can shift as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions on each platform. This allows for a comprehensive view of expectations surrounding the game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on power rankings and statistics, the dynamic nature of this market allows for rapid adjustments based on news, injuries, and even subtle shifts in public perception. The difference can be a valuable signal for informed bettors.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could trigger shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games that impact team rankings or tournament seeding could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage can influence trading activity, especially if there is a notable change in the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding the dynamics of this market.