TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Chicago State Cougars vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Predict
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:21h:40m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Chicago State Cougars and the Incarnate Word Cardinals, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets resolve to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.
In the upcoming CBB game between Chicago State Cougars and Incarnate Word Cardinals, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Chicago St. vs Incarnate Word men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Incarnate Word wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Chicago St. wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.
In the upcoming CBB game between Chicago State Cougars and Incarnate Word Cardinals, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific factors. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can impact price sensitivity; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads. The differing interfaces and incentive structures of Polymarket and Predict also contribute to these potential divergences in the assessment of the college basketball matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the college basketball matchup will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the final score is officially recorded and independently verified. This ensures a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market, providing confidence in the fairness of the outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games affecting team rankings or tournament seeding could also influence the odds. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the college basketball matchup can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market until Nov 6, 2026.