TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Chicago Fire versus Vancouver Major League Soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 2.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled match date of Oct 6, 2026, on October 7, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from consideration. A market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) is exceeded. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the MLS, and all league trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's assessment. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a mechanism to ensure that the prices converge towards the true probability as the event approaches. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic and liquid market for predicting the total goals in the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver match.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or Vancouver Whitecaps would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any updates on team form, tactical changes, or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff are also common catalysts for price adjustments in this market.