TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a soccer match between two teams in a league competition scheduled for October 6, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time. This determination is made without considering any extended play beyond regulation time.
If Chicago Fire and Vancouver both score a goal in the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information or shifts in public opinion. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded view of the potential outcome of the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver match. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher probability. Conversely, selling 'Yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring, allowing participants to express and profit from their informed opinions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams score at least one goal during regulation time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 7, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Chicago Fire or Vancouver could significantly impact expectations for goal-scoring. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Team news regarding starting lineups and tactical approaches, as well as any late-breaking news about player availability, could all contribute to shifts in market sentiment and trading volume.